Forecast for Edmonton, Alberta
Issued: 2026-04-04 14:48 MDT
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, SATURDAY 4 APRIL: The sky will remain overcast through the afternoon and evening, with a chance of light snow developing towards the late afternoon. Winds will blow from the east and southeast at 10 to 20 km/h, with gusts reaching 30 km/h. The high is expected near -1°C to 1°C, while the low will fall to -6°C to -3°C overnight. There is a moderate chance of seeing up to 1 mm of precipitation, which would likely fall as a dusting of less than 1 cm of snow. Confidence is highest for dry, chilly conditions, though a few model runs suggest a brief period of light snow could bring a very light coating to surfaces.
TOMORROW, SUNDAY 5 APRIL: Overcast skies will continue, with a strong likelihood of light snow or a rain and snow mix arriving by midday and continuing into the evening. Southeast winds will strengthen to 10 to 20 km/h, with gusts pushing between 30 and 50 km/h as the day progresses. The high will reach 0°C to 3°C, and the low will drop to -4°C to -3°C. You can expect up to 1 mm of precipitation, which translates to less than 1 cm of snow accumulation. While most scenarios keep the snowfall very light, there is a meaningful chance of heavier bands developing, so conditions could shift to a more persistent snowfall if moisture increases.
MONDAY 6 APRIL: Snow becomes much more likely, with periods of moderate to heavy snow expected from the morning through the evening. Winds will shift from the southeast to the northwest, blowing at 10 to 30 km/h with gusts up to 50 km/h. The high is expected to sit between 0°C and 4°C, and the low will settle at -4°C to -2°C. Total precipitation will likely range from 3 mm to 9 mm, bringing 1 cm to 6 cm of snow. There is a notable uncertainty in the exact intensity, as some model outcomes show a quick transition to partly cloudy skies, while others indicate a prolonged period of heavy snow that could quickly reduce visibility and make travel difficult.
TUESDAY 7 APRIL: A widespread snow event is highly probable, with snow likely to fall steadily from early morning into the late afternoon, and possibly intensifying to heavy at times. Winds will turn northwesterly, moving at 10 to 30 km/h with strong gusts between 40 and 70 km/h. The high will range from 0°C to 4°C, while the low will fall to -7°C to -1°C. Expect 2 mm to 12 mm of precipitation, which will likely produce 1 cm to 9 cm of snow. Confidence in the snowfall is high, but the exact accumulation and wind strength carry meaningful uncertainty, with some scenarios showing a rapid clearing trend and others pointing to a prolonged, windy snowstorm that could disrupt outdoor plans.
WEDNESDAY 8 APRIL: Conditions will vary widely, with a split between clear, very cold air and lingering overcast skies with light snow. Winds will generally be light to moderate, shifting from the northwest to the southwest at 5 to 20 km/h. The high will sit between 0°C and 5°C, and the low will drop sharply to -13°C to -1°C. Precipitation totals will likely stay up to 1 mm, resulting in less than 1 cm of snow. The main uncertainty revolves around the temperature and cloud cover, as some model runs show a deep freeze with clear skies, while others keep the area under a cloudy blanket with light snow flurries.
Existing Vulnerabilities
- Edmonton’s drainage infrastructure in many neighbourhoods built before 1989 was designed to older standards, making these areas more susceptible to urban flooding during intense rainfall events.
- A significant portion of municipal buildings (approximately 39% of assessed structures) have been identified as requiring immediate action due to high risk, age, and condition, making them more vulnerable to extreme weather events like heavy snowfall, storms, and freeze-thaw cycles.
- The city has a substantial population of vulnerable individuals, including those experiencing homelessness, who are at increased risk during periods of extreme cold or severe weather due to limited access to safe shelter and resources.
Weather Impact Thresholds
- Urban flooding and surface ponding can occur when drainage systems are overwhelmed by intense, short-duration rainfall, with significant pooling (greater than 0.75m) possible in low-lying areas during severe storms.
- While specific mm-thresholds for flash flooding are not universally defined for all city areas, historical severe storms in 2004 and 2012 demonstrated that extreme rainfall events can exceed the capacity of the existing pipe network, leading to basement flooding and road surface ponding.
- High winds pose a risk to infrastructure, including potential power outages and damage to older or high-risk municipal buildings, though specific km/h thresholds for structural damage are not publicly specified for the city.
Exposed Populations and Assets
- Individuals experiencing homelessness are a key vulnerable group, particularly those in encampments or those relying on outdoor transit facilities, as they lack adequate protection from cold, precipitation, and severe weather.
- Older neighbourhoods with legacy drainage systems are highly exposed to urban flooding during heavy rain or rapid snowmelt events.
- Critical infrastructure, including the city's power, water, and transportation networks, is exposed to potential disruption from severe storms, high winds, and freeze-thaw cycles.
Upcoming Events
- The Aviary 10-Year Anniversary: 2 April 2026 to 4 April 2026. This is a multi-day music celebration at a popular local venue, which will draw crowds and increase exposure for attendees.
- The Downtown Defrost: 3 April 2026 to 4 April 2026. This outdoor festival at Churchill Square features art installations and food trucks, significantly increasing the number of people exposed to outdoor weather conditions.
- Good Friday Concert (Pro Coro Canada): 3 April 2026. A major cultural event at All Saints Anglican Cathedral that will attract a large indoor audience.
- Easter at the Muttart: 4 April 2026. A family-oriented event at the Muttart Conservatory that will draw significant public attendance.
- 2026 NorthwestFilmFest: 8 April 2026 to 12 April 2026. A multi-day film festival at the Metro Cinema that will bring large numbers of people to the downtown area.
- 2026 Speedo Canadian Swimming Open: 9 April 2026 to 12 April 2026. A major national sports event that will draw top athletes and spectators, increasing the concentration of people at the event location.
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