Forecast for Road Town, British Virgin Islands
Issued: 2026-04-04 16:59 AST
This Evening, Saturday 4 April: Light to moderate rain will continue through the evening, bringing a total of 1 mm to 6 mm of rainfall. Temperatures will remain steady near 23°C to 24°C (73°F to 75°F) through the evening and into the night. Easterly to southeasterly winds will blow at 30 to 40 km/h (19 to 25 mph), with gusts reaching 50 km/h (31 mph). The NWS San Juan PR has issued a Small Craft Advisory valid from 4:00 PM AST until 6 AM AST Monday, warning that seas of 5 to 8 feet will create hazardous conditions for small craft.
Tomorrow, Sunday 5 April: Rain will be the main feature, with a total of 8 mm to 19 mm expected across the day. While most of the rain will fall during the morning and afternoon hours, there is a meaningful chance of heavier downpours that could push totals toward the upper end of that range. The low will settle between 22°C to 24°C (72°F to 75°F) overnight, and the high will reach 24°C to 26°C (75°F to 79°F) during the day. Southeasterly winds will maintain a steady pace of 20 to 40 km/h (12 to 25 mph), with gusts occasionally reaching 50 km/h (31 mph). Cloud cover will shift between mostly cloudy and partly cloudy skies as the rain moves through.
Monday 6 April: Light rain will likely persist into the morning and early afternoon, with a daily total of 3 mm to 9 mm expected. Skies will gradually clear toward the evening as the rain tapers off. The low will fall to 23°C to 25°C (73°F to 77°F), while the high will climb to 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Southeasterly winds will continue at 30 to 40 km/h (19 to 25 mph), with gusts up to 50 km/h (31 mph). There remains a smaller chance that rain could linger longer or produce slightly heavier bursts, but the overall trend points to a gradual improvement.
Tuesday 7 April: Conditions will turn mostly dry, with only up to 2 mm of rain possible if a few light showers develop. The sky will alternate between partly cloudy and mostly clear throughout the day. The low will sit at 22°C to 26°C (72°F to 79°F), and the high will peak near 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Easterly to southeasterly winds will ease slightly to 20 to 40 km/h (12 to 25 mph). The main uncertainty is whether a few passing clouds will bring a brief sprinkle, but widespread rain is unlikely.
Wednesday 8 April: The day will be largely dry and partly cloudy, with only up to 1 mm of rain possible if a stray shower passes through. The low will be 24°C to 25°C (75°F to 77°F), and the high will reach 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Light southeasterly to easterly winds will blow at 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 19 mph). While a few clouds will drift through, the overall pattern favors calm and dry weather.
Forecast in Virgin Islands Creole English
Dis Evenin', Saturday 4 April: Light to moderate rain gwine continue through di evenin', bringin' a total of 1 mm to 6 mm a rainfall. Temperature gwine stay steady near 23°C to 24°C (73°F to 75°F) through di evenin' an' into di night. Easterly to southeasterly wind gwine blow at 30 to 40 km/h (19 to 25 mph), wid gusts reachin' 50 km/h (31 mph). Di NWS San Juan PR done issue a Small Craft Advisory valid from 4:00 PM AST till 6 AM AST Monday, warnin' dat sea of 5 to 8 feet gwine create hazardous condition fi small craft.
Tumorrow, Sunday 5 April: Rain gwine be di main feature, wid a total of 8 mm to 19 mm expect across di day. While most a di rain gwine fall durin' di mornin' an' afternoon hours, dere a good chance fi heavier downpour dat could push total toward di upper end a dat range. Di low gwine settle between 22°C to 24°C (72°F to 75°F) overnight, an' di high gwine reach 24°C to 26°C (75°F to 79°F) durin' di day. Southeasterly wind gwine keep a steady pace of 20 to 40 km/h (12 to 25 mph), wid gusts occasionally reachin' 50 km/h (31 mph). Cloud cover gwine shift between mostly cloudy an' partly cloudy sky as di rain move through.
Monday 6 April: Light rain likely gwine persist into di mornin' an' early afternoon, wid a daily total of 3 mm to 9 mm expect. Sky gwine gradually clear toward di evenin' as di rain taper off. Di low gwine fall to 23°C to 25°C (73°F to 77°F), while di high gwine climb to 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Southeasterly wind gwine continue at 30 to 40 km/h (19 to 25 mph), wid gusts up to 50 km/h (31 mph). Dere still a smaller chance dat rain could linger longer or produce slightly heavier burst, but di overall trend point to a gradual improvement.
Tuesday 7 April: Condition gwine turn mostly dry, wid only up to 2 mm a rain possible if a few light shower develop. Di sky gwine alternate between partly cloudy an' mostly clear throughout di day. Di low gwine sit at 22°C to 26°C (72°F to 79°F), an' di high gwine peak near 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Easterly to southeasterly wind gwine ease slightly to 20 to 40 km/h (12 to 25 mph). Di main uncertainty a whether a few passin' cloud gwine bring a brief sprinkle, but widespread rain unlikely.
Wednesday 8 April: Di day gwine be largely dry an' partly cloudy, wid only up to 1 mm a rain possible if a stray shower pass through. Di low gwine be 24°C to 25°C (75°F to 77°F), an' di high gwine reach 25°C to 27°C (77°F to 81°F). Light southeasterly to easterly wind gwine blow at 20 to 30 km/h (12 to 19 mph). While a few cloud gwine drift through, di overall pattern favor calm an' dry weather.
Existing Vulnerabilities
- The British Virgin Islands, including Road Town, frequently experience water shortages and power outages, which can impact essential services such as medical facilities, telecommunications, and the public water supply.
- Road infrastructure in the territory is vulnerable to damage from heavy rainfall, with steep and narrow mountain roads prone to landslides, rockfalls, and undermining, particularly in areas like Pockwood Pond, Windy Hill, and Ridge Road.
- The drainage systems in Road Town are often inadequate to handle significant rainfall, leading to frequent flash flooding in low-lying areas, which can cause road closures, property damage, and the submerging of vehicles.
- The territory lacks a local meteorological authority, which can sometimes result in delays in the issuance of localized early warnings for hazardous weather events.
Weather Impact Thresholds
- Flash flooding: Historically, rainfall exceeding approximately 75mm (3 inches) in a 4-hour period has triggered flash flood warnings and significant flooding in low-lying areas of Tortola.
- Landslides and rockfalls: Hillsides become highly susceptible to landslides and rockfalls when they are saturated from prolonged or intense rainfall; these events frequently cause road obstructions and closures.
- Wind damage: Wind gusts exceeding 95 km/h (60 mph) have historically been associated with damage to utility poles, trees, and infrastructure, though damage to informal or less resilient structures can occur at lower speeds.
- Coastal impacts: High tides can exacerbate flooding in low-lying coastal areas by slowing the drainage of storm water into the sea.
Exposed Populations and Assets
- Low-lying areas and communities: Road Town, Cane Garden Bay, Sea Cows Bay, Pockwood Pond, and West End are identified as flood-prone areas where residents and property are at higher risk during heavy rain.
- Critical infrastructure: The R.T. O'Neal Administration Complex and surrounding commercial areas in Road Town are central hubs that are sensitive to flooding and infrastructure disruptions.
- Transportation networks: Main roads, particularly those traversing steep terrain or located near known ghuts (natural drainage channels), are critical assets that are frequently compromised by debris, mud, and water during severe weather.
- Coastal and marine assets: Marine charter operations and vessels in the harbor are exposed to risks from strong winds and rough seas.
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